Five independent timers time a runner as she runs four laps of a track. Four of the timers measure the individual lap times, the results of the measurements being the random variables T1 to T4, each of which has variance σ2 and expectation equal to the true time for the lap. The fifth timer measures the total time for the race, the result of the measurement being the random variable T which has variance σ2 and expectation equal to the true race time (which is equal to the sum of the four true lap times).
Find a random variable X of the form aT+b(T1+T2+T3+T4), where a and b are constants independent of the true lap times, with the two properties:
(1) whatever the true lap times, the expectation of X is equal to the true race time;
(2) the variance of X is as small as possible.
Find also a random variable Y of the form cT+d(T1+T2+T3+T4), where c and d are constants independent of the true lap times, with the property that, whatever the true lap times, the expectation of Y2 is equal to σ2.
In one particular race, T takes the value 220 seconds and (T1+T2+T3+T4) takes the value 220.5 seconds. Use the random variables X and Y to estimate an interval in which the true race time lies.